The Trump Effect and the French election

Looking at the catastrophic performance of Le Pen in the second round of the French election the thought occurs to me (as it did after the Dutch election) that Trump may have played a major role.
If there’s one thing Europeans enjoy it’s indulging in moral preening about their anti-fascist credentials and if there’s one thing they enjoy even more than that it’s sneering at the United States and congratulating themselves on their superior levels of culture, tolerance and all-round moral virtue. Europeans are so very civilised while Americans are barbaric, backward and crass.
This smug condescension on the part of western Europeans is actually quite hilarious. In 1914 western Europeans had a magnificent civilisation. In the century since then, through their own efforts, they have managed to flush it all down the toilet. You’d think this would teach them a bit of humility but in fact as Europe has become progressively more decadent, more corrupt, more cowardly and more depraved Europeans have become even more addicted to sneering at Americans.
Trump has kicked this tendency into overdrive. He represents everything about America that appalls western Europeans, and everything about America that frightens and upsets them.
The election provided the French with a wonderful opportunity to prove their civilisational superiority by electing the anti-Trump. And that is indeed what Macron is. Trump is masculine; Macron is emasculated. Trump is proud of his country; Macron is ashamed of his. Trump has demonstrated his commitment to the future by having children; Macron is childless. Trump likes being a political outsider; Macron is a creature of the establishment. Trump is confident; Macron is apologetic. Trump radiates strength; Macron radiates weakness. Trump likes ordinary people; Macron regards them with horror. Trump is a loose cannon; Macron is a good boy who will do what he is told.
To make the deal even sweeter, Trump is a fascist. The French know he is a fascist because that’s what the newspapers and TV tell them and in any case he’s a Republican and everyone knows that all American Republicans are fascists by definition. And Macron is not a fascist because Le Pen is a fascist and he’s against Le Pen so he can’t be a fascist.
So we have an election that was a splendid opportunity for both virtue-signaling and civilisation-signaling.
Given the fact that the second round was a landslide you might suggest that even if there was a Trump Effect it made no difference. Maybe. On the other hand the first round was quite tight and the Macron As Anti-Trump factor may have had some significance, possibly costing Fillon enough votes to keep him out of the second round. Macron was after all a ludicrous clown of a candidate and realistically he could have been in big trouble against Fillon in the second round.
It may well be that the Trump Effect has significantly damaged the chances of nationalist parties in all western European countries. Knee-jerk anti-Americanism is not far beneath the surface amongst most middle-class Europeans, and the irrational and morbid fear of being tarred with any association with fascism is an immense factor in western European politics. 
Of course I’m not suggesting it’s Trump’s fault. Trump is Trump and he can only be himself and his style works very well in US politics. Europeans need to grow up and they need to lose their attitude. If they don’t then they’re going to lose their civilisation.
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Trump hysteria – is there a point to it?

When you see the extent of the anti-Trump hysteria in the United States you have to ask yourself – what is the point? Trump won the election fair and square and there isn’t going to be another presidential election for another four years so surely the only rational thing for the Trump-haters to do is to wait four years and then try to come up with a better candidate than Hillary Clinton.
But they’re not doing that. The Trump-haters, and especially the ones in the media and academia, are behaving as if they really can get the election result overturned.
Of course this could just be evidence of the basic irrationality of the Trump-haters, or their inability to comprehend the fact that so many ordinary Americans hate them.
Or could it be something more? Is the US media preparing the ground for a coup?
A year ago I would have dismissed talk of a coup as the rantings of the Tin-Foil Hat Brigade. Coups were something the United States organised in other countries, but the idea of a coup against the US government itself seemed unthinkable, paranoid and delusional. Now I’m not quite so sure.
The fact is that the behaviour of the American media does look like the kind of destabilisation that usually precedes US-organised coups in other countries. More worrying is that it isn’t just the media. The judiciary also seems intent on destabilising the Administration.
Could such a coup succeed? Trump has widespread public support but that would count for nothing. What matters is power. And in the centres of power Trump has virtually no support at all. The media is united against him. The judiciary is against him. He cannot rely on the support of Republicans in Congress – they’d be delighted to see him replaced by Mike Pence. The bureaucracy is against him. The intelligence agencies are against him. The police hierarchies are against him. The only thing in doubt is the attitude of the military. Given the politicisation and corruption of the US military Trump would be unwise to rely on help from that quarter. He may have quite a bit of support among enlisted personnel but the senior officers are unlikely to back him.
The first step in staging a successful coup is to create the impression that the government you’re trying to overthrow has no legitimacy. Overthrowing an illegitimate government is not only permissible – it’s virtuous. It’s striking a blow for freedom. The process of painting the Trump Administration as an illegal and illegitimate government is already well advanced.
The second step is to start floating the suggestion that perhaps the government really should be overthrown. Some of the more hysterical anti-Trump voices in the media have already floated this suggestion, albeit in an indirect sort of way.
I’ve always been hyper-suspicious of conspiracy theories so it’s important to note that there is an alternative explanation for all this. It may be simply an attempt to intimidate Trump. The objective may not be to remove Trump but to persuade him to become a good little establishment Republican who can be relied on to follow orders. Or the objective may be to isolate him by frightening any potential supporters he may have in Congress or in the bureaucracy, or frightening members of his Administration into abandoning him. Either of these possibilities would effectively reduce the Trump Administration to powerlessness, and for the globalists that might be more desirable than facing the risks of an actual coup. 
The one thing we can be certain of is that Trump’s enemies have no intention of allowing him to put into practice any of the policies which won him the election.

Trump’s victory and white nationalism

In the past few days we’ve had tearful SJWs telling us that Trump’s victory was a victory for evil white supremacism. We’ve also had alt-righters telling us that it marked the beginnings of a white nationalist surge and the adoption by whites of identity politics.
I’m very sceptical about this. What seems to have happened is that Trump won much the same white vote that Romney did, but the black Democrat vote collapsed.
It’s likely that Trump lost some white voters and gained others. He obviously did well among white voters in the Rust Belt states but I doubt if these white voters were motivated by white identity politics. It seems much more likely that they finally figured out that the Democratic Party is the Billionaire Party and will never do anything to fix the serious economic problems facing these states. Trump at least offered some slight hope that he might address these problems. 
These white voters have started to assert their class identity. The one class that is doing very well is the elite class. The working class and the lower middle class are being screwed. They’re tired of it and they’re starting to think that changing their political allegiance might be a good idea.
In some ways this was a very old-fashioned election. The issues that counted were good old-fashioned economic issues – jobs, jobs and jobs. Things like free trade and immigration were only issues insomuch as they impact on jobs. What is interesting is that Trump fought the election the way an old school moderate leftist would have done.
The Democrat Party has done what so many formerly leftist parties have done – they’ve abandoned their base and that base has turned on them.
I’m sure that voter fatigue with political correctness played a role, but probably a fairly minor one. I’m very dubious as to whether the alt-right had any effect at all. The alt-righters who think this was a victory for Pepe the Frog are living in a dream world. It was a victory for a candidate with sound old-fashioned political instincts and a moderate centre-left program with a healthy dash of nationalism without jingoism. Most importantly it was a victory for a candidate with the ability to convince ordinary Americans that he actually likes them and cares about their lives. That’s a formula that will usually lead to electoral success.