A lot of conservatives seem to view Obama’s Ukraine policy as another example of the man’s stupidity and cravenness. In fact I’m inclined to think the whole crisis has played out exactly as Obama hoped it would.
America’s Middle east policy is now a smoking pile of rubble decorated with severed heads. What Obama desperately needed was a diversion elsewhere to stop people from examining that smoking pile of rubble too closely. The Ukraine crisis was made to order. The best thing about it is that 99 percent of the American population haven’t the foggiest notion of what the crisis is actually about. Even people with an extensive knowledge of the history of the region have trouble untangling all the nuances. Which means that the American people will believe whatever their media tells them. It’s the kind of crisis politicians love because they can’t lose, because even if they do lose they can pretend they won and no-one will be any the wiser.
When Obama’s Ukraine policy turns out to be a lot of hot air his Administration will simply announce it as a foreign policy triumph. The media will cheer – Obama the Great Peacemaker has averted war. There will be demands for him to be given yet another Novel Peace Prize. The Nobel Committee will almost certainly oblige. The godawful mess in the Middle East will be pushed off the front pages, for a while at least.
This is not an example of stupidity and weakness. It’s an example of political cynicism and rat cunning of the highest order.